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1.
Accid Anal Prev ; 190: 107178, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37364362

RESUMO

Time-specific Safety Performance Functions (SPFs) were proposed to achieve accurate and dynamic crash frequency predictions. Unfortunately, some states do not have or archive the needed high-resolution traffic data to develop time-specific SPFs. This study proposes a novel iterative imputation method to impute the 100% missing volume and speed data from different states with similar crash rates. First, this study calculated the crash rates for 18 states and applied the One-Way Analysis of variance (ANOVA) test to group the states with similar crash rates. Second, as an example FL and VA, which both have traffic data, were used to test the proposed iterative imputation method. The results indicated that the imputed traffic data could capture the same traffic pattern as the real-collected traffic data. Further, the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) between the imputed Ln Volume and the real-collected Ln Volume for FL is only 2.47 vehicles for each segment for three hours. The MAE between the imputed Ln AvgSpeed and the real-collected Ln AvgSpeed for FL is only 1.36 mph. The Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) between the imputed Ln Volume and the real-collected Ln Volume is 11.07%. Meanwhile, the MAPE between the imputed Ln AvgSpeed and the real-collected Ln AvgSpeed is 7.40%. Finally, this study applied the proposed iterative imputation method to develop time-specific SPFs for the state without traffic data and compared the results. The results illustrated that the time-specific SPFs developed by imputed traffic data perfectly reflected the significant variables for both morning and afternoon peak models, with a prediction accuracy of 87.1% for the morning peak model.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Modelos Estatísticos , Humanos , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Planejamento Ambiental , Segurança , Análise de Variância
2.
Accid Anal Prev ; 181: 106953, 2023 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36599212

RESUMO

Time-specific Safety Performance Functions (SPFs) were proposed to achieve accurate and dynamic crash frequency predictions. This study contributes to the literature by developing time-specific SPFs for freeways that include reversible lanes (RL) and freeways that include High-Occupancy Vehicle lanes (HOV) using Microwave Vehicle Detection System (MVDS) data from Virginia, Arizona and Washington States. Variables that capture the time-specific traffic turbulence were prepared and considered in the developed SPFs. Moreover, two different hierarchical models were proposed to identify factors associated with the different crash types or severity in crash frequency prediction. The results indicated that the variables representing the volume difference between reversible and general-purpose lanes (GPL) were positively associated with crash frequency. Further, the variable that indicated the design of the access point of the reversible lane was positively associated with crash frequency. The models comparison results showed that the hierarchical models outperformed the corresponding Poisson lognormal model with lower AIC and MAE values. This study also tested the proposed hierarchical models on High-Occupancy Vehicle freeway sections and reached the same conclusion on model comparison results. The significant variables representing the logarithm of volume were found to be significant and positive with crash frequency. Moreover, the difference in average speed between the HOV lanes and GPL was also found to be positive and significant with the crash frequency. In general, this study successfully identified the factors associated with the different crash types or severity in crash frequency prediction models.


Assuntos
Condução de Veículo , Humanos , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Washington , Virginia , Arizona , Modelos Estatísticos , Segurança , Planejamento Ambiental
3.
Accid Anal Prev ; 151: 105984, 2021 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33484973

RESUMO

Safety Performance Functions (SPFs) have been widely used by researchers and practitioners to conduct roadway safety evaluation. Traditional SPFs are usually developed by using annual average daily traffic (AADT) along with geometric characteristics. However, the high level of aggregation may lead to a failure to capture the temporal variation in traffic characteristics (e.g., traffic volume and speed) and crash frequencies. In this study, SPFs at different aggregation levels were developed based on microscopic traffic detector data from California, Florida, and Virginia. More specifically, five aggregation levels were considered: (1) annual average weekday hourly traffic (AAWDHT), (2) annual average weekend hourly traffic (AAWEHT), (3) annual average weekday peak/off-peak traffic (AAWDPT), (4) annual average day of the week traffic (AADOWT), and (5) annual average daily traffic (AADT). Model estimation results showed that the segment length and volume, as exposure variables, are significant across all the aggregation levels. Average speed is significant with a negative coefficient, and the standard deviation of speed was found to be positively associated with the crash frequency. It is noteworthy that the operation of the high occupancy vehicle (HOV) lanes was found to have a positive effect on crash frequency across all the aggregation levels. The model results also showed that the AAWDPT and AADOWT models consistently performed better (the improvements range from 3.14%-16.20%) than the AADT-based SPF, which implies that the differences between the day of the week and peak/off-peak periods should be considered in the development of crash prediction models. The model transferability results indicated that the SPFs between Florida and Virginia are transferrable, while the models between California and the other two states are not transferrable.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , Modelos Estatísticos , Acidentes de Trânsito/prevenção & controle , Planejamento Ambiental , Florida , Humanos , Segurança , Virginia
4.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31340584

RESUMO

Students studying for a long time frequently suffer from attentional fatigue; however, campuses lack specific spaces in which to restore attention. This study aimed to explore the significant perceptual factors related to student selection of landscape types that they perceive as most relaxing on a university campus. To understand the design factors of an attention restoration space, this study examined the preference of students regarding restorative environments on university campuses at six universities in northeastern China using a questionnaire survey (n = 360). Place-mapping revealed the spatial characteristics of the preferences of students for relaxing in the available space. The primary perceptual factors were obtained using correlation analysis and keyword frequency. A relationship model of landscape types and perceptual factors was established using categorical regression (CATREG). Results showed that waterfront spaces have the optimal perceived attention restoration effect, followed by vegetation spaces, courtyard spaces and square spaces. Visibility, accessibility, comfort, recognition and sense of belonging are significant perceptual factors that should be first considered. Moreover, the optimal selection of design factors depends on the interaction of landscape types and perceptual factors. The design implications may assist designers to gain a new perspective on student requirements for a healthy environment.


Assuntos
Atenção , Planejamento Ambiental , Relaxamento , Estudantes/psicologia , Adolescente , Adulto , China , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Inquéritos e Questionários , Universidades , Adulto Jovem
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